In the early stages of the 2028 presidential cycle, trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty with JD Vance holding the narrowest lead amid a fragmented field. Post-2024 election positioning, including vice-presidential visibility and party infrastructure advantages, supports Vance's standing, while Democratic options like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draw from progressive donor and activist networks. Republican names such as Marco Rubio benefit from Senate and potential executive-branch experience that could translate into early endorsements. The compressed spread among top contenders stems from the absence of declared candidates, limited polling data, and open questions about 2026 midterm results that will shape party momentum and fundraising. Upcoming developments including primary filing deadlines, debate performances, and shifts in congressional leadership could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths through swing-state coalitions and Electoral College math.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028
JD Vance 23.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.2%
Marco Rubio 13.1%
Jon Ossoff 9.3%
$686,646,864 Vol.
$686,646,864 Vol.
JD Vance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Marco Rubio
13%
Jon Ossoff
9%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Kamala Harris
4%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Tucker Carlson
1%
Person AD
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
James Talarico
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
<1%
JB Pritzker
<1%
Eric Trump
<1%
Stephen Smith
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
Candace Owens
<1%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Person AE
<1%
Jalen Brunson
<1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
John N. Kennedy
<1%
Tim Walz
<1%
Tim Scott
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Rick Scott
<1%
Alex Padilla
<1%
Adam Schiff
<1%
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
Josh Stein
<1%
JD Vance 23.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.2%
Marco Rubio 13.1%
Jon Ossoff 9.3%
$686,646,864 Vol.
$686,646,864 Vol.
JD Vance
23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Marco Rubio
13%
Jon Ossoff
9%
Gavin Newsom
9%
Kamala Harris
4%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Tucker Carlson
1%
Person AD
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
James Talarico
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
<1%
JB Pritzker
<1%
Eric Trump
<1%
Stephen Smith
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
Candace Owens
<1%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Person AE
<1%
Jalen Brunson
<1%
Tom Cotton
<1%
John N. Kennedy
<1%
Tim Walz
<1%
Tim Scott
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Rick Scott
<1%
Alex Padilla
<1%
Adam Schiff
<1%
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
Kim Kardashian
<1%
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
Josh Stein
<1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
In the early stages of the 2028 presidential cycle, trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty with JD Vance holding the narrowest lead amid a fragmented field. Post-2024 election positioning, including vice-presidential visibility and party infrastructure advantages, supports Vance's standing, while Democratic options like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draw from progressive donor and activist networks. Republican names such as Marco Rubio benefit from Senate and potential executive-branch experience that could translate into early endorsements. The compressed spread among top contenders stems from the absence of declared candidates, limited polling data, and open questions about 2026 midterm results that will shape party momentum and fundraising. Upcoming developments including primary filing deadlines, debate performances, and shifts in congressional leadership could widen gaps by clarifying viable paths through swing-state coalitions and Electoral College math.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes