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icon for Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario
Política·Elección Principal

Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario

icon for Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario
Política·Elección Principal

Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario

Navdeep Bains 56%

Lee Fairclough 21%

Stephanie Bowman 14%

Eric Lombardi 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Navdeep Bains 56%

Lee Fairclough 21%

Stephanie Bowman 14%

Eric Lombardi 7%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Navdeep Bains

Navdeep Bains

$617 Vol.

56%

icon for Lee Fairclough

Lee Fairclough

$298 Vol.

21%

icon for Stephanie Bowman

Stephanie Bowman

$120 Vol.

14%

icon for Eric Lombardi

Eric Lombardi

$129 Vol.

7%

icon for Dylan Marando

Dylan Marando

$52 Vol.

3%

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volumen
$1,216
Fecha de finalización
21 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.The Ontario Liberal leadership contest remains tightly contested heading into the November 21 vote because multiple candidates are actively building membership support ahead of the September 7 cutoff, with no single contender yet demonstrating decisive organizational dominance. Navdeep Bains holds a modest edge in fundraising and name recognition from his federal cabinet experience, yet late entrants like Stephanie Bowman have quickly narrowed gaps through rapid donor momentum. Lee Fairclough, Eric Lombardi, and Dylan Marando continue pressing on provincial issues such as housing and the economy. Upcoming debates, endorsement waves, and final membership tallies could shift probabilities by clarifying which candidate best consolidates party factions ahead of the preferential ballot.

The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Volumen
$1,216
Fecha de finalización
21 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Navdeep Bains" con 56%, seguido de "Lee Fairclough" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario" es "Navdeep Bains" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lee Fairclough" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección de liderazgo del Partido Liberal de Ontario" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.