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icon for Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación

Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación

icon for Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación

Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación

66-70% 43%

62-66% 27%

70-74% 27%

<58% 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

66-70% 43%

62-66% 27%

70-74% 27%

<58% 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<58%

$0 Vol.

26%

58-62%

$0 Vol.

24%

62-66%

$0 Vol.

27%

66-70%

$0 Vol.

43%

70-74%

$0 Vol.

27%

74%+

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Quebec’s October 5 general election features a competitive multi-party contest, with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls amid voter concerns over healthcare, living costs, and U.S. trade tensions. The race follows the August call under a new 127-riding map and involves roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, with advance polls and registration updates already underway. Historical provincial turnout has hovered near 66 percent in recent cycles, and the current fragmented field plus early mobilization efforts support trader consensus around the 66-70 percent range as the most probable outcome. Lower or higher brackets reflect uncertainty over whether campaign intensity and regional dynamics will meaningfully shift participation from baseline levels.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "66-70%" con 43%, seguido de "62-66%" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación" es "66-70%" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "62-66%" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones generales de Quebec: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.