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icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?

40-64 53%

65-89 23%

<40 21%

90-114 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

40-64 53%

65-89 23%

<40 21%

90-114 4.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<40

$429 Vol.

21%

40-64

$2,505 Vol.

53%

65-89

$1,001 Vol.

23%

90-114

$297 Vol.

5%

115-139

$1,072 Vol.

2%

140-164

$1,508 Vol.

1%

165-189

$1,166 Vol.

<1%

190-214

$226 Vol.

<1%

215-239

$226 Vol.

<1%

240+

$244 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's posting volume on X typically averages 30-50 posts per day in recent months, according to multiple trackers, though weekend rates often trend lower amid lighter news cycles.** For the Aug 31–Sep 2 window (Labor Day weekend), the market's heavy weighting toward 40-64 total tweets reflects trader expectations of a subdued pace without major catalysts like product launches, political developments, or viral controversies to accelerate activity. Recent August data shows fluctuations between roughly 20-50 daily posts depending on the exact definition (originals vs. replies/reposts), with no sustained spikes evident in the final days of the month. Higher ranges above 90 remain discounted because historical patterns and the absence of breaking events make outlier volume unlikely absent sudden external triggers. The tight clustering around mid-range buckets underscores the consensus that routine engagement will dominate the short holiday period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$8,674
Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's posting volume on X typically averages 30-50 posts per day in recent months, according to multiple trackers, though weekend rates often trend lower amid lighter news cycles.** For the Aug 31–Sep 2 window (Labor Day weekend), the market's heavy weighting toward 40-64 total tweets reflects trader expectations of a subdued pace without major catalysts like product launches, political developments, or viral controversies to accelerate activity. Recent August data shows fluctuations between roughly 20-50 daily posts depending on the exact definition (originals vs. replies/reposts), with no sustained spikes evident in the final days of the month. Higher ranges above 90 remain discounted because historical patterns and the absence of breaking events make outlier volume unlikely absent sudden external triggers. The tight clustering around mid-range buckets underscores the consensus that routine engagement will dominate the short holiday period.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$8,674
Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:07 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Relacionado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "40-64" con 53%, seguido de "65-89" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?" es "40-64" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "65-89" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 31 de agosto al 2 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.