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icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?

icon for ¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?

¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?

<5 84%

35-39 15%

30-34 11%

5-9 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5 84%

35-39 15%

30-34 11%

5-9 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$141 Vol.

84%

5-9

$60 Vol.

10%

10-14

$53 Vol.

6%

15-19

$27 Vol.

3%

20-24

$22 Vol.

6%

25-29

$27 Vol.

4%

30-34

$7 Vol.

11%

35-39

$14 Vol.

15%

40-44

$60 Vol.

1%

45-49

$60 Vol.

1%

50-54

$60 Vol.

1%

55-59

$60 Vol.

1%

60+

$60 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the September 8–15 window, priced at 84%.** This reflects the account’s established low posting frequency in recent months, with activity often limited to occasional statements or archival material rather than daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei, the current Supreme Leader, has channeled most official messaging through Telegram and other platforms since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, further reducing reliance on the English-language X account. No major diplomatic summits, religious observances, or escalation triggers are scheduled in the immediate period that would typically prompt increased activity. Historical patterns show the account averaging well under one post per day in low-news periods, supporting the market’s assessment of limited volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$655
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from the @khamenei_ir account during the September 8–15 window, priced at 84%.** This reflects the account’s established low posting frequency in recent months, with activity often limited to occasional statements or archival material rather than daily output. Mojtaba Khamenei, the current Supreme Leader, has channeled most official messaging through Telegram and other platforms since succeeding his father earlier in 2026, further reducing reliance on the English-language X account. No major diplomatic summits, religious observances, or escalation triggers are scheduled in the immediate period that would typically prompt increased activity. Historical patterns show the account averaging well under one post per day in low-news periods, supporting the market’s assessment of limited volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$655
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<5" con 84%, seguido de "35-39" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 5, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?" es "<5" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "35-39" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 8 al 15 de septiembre de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.