Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) averaging roughly 6-8 seats, consistent with the market's leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in late August after extended negotiations over slate positions, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list ahead of Ahmad Tibi and Sami Abu Shehadeh. Ra'am's separate run limits combined Arab representation while the 3.25% threshold and Arab voter turnout remain key variables. Current surveys place the list near or slightly above recent performance levels for the component parties, though higher mobilization or shifts in Zionist bloc dynamics could alter results before the September 9 candidate-list deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado6-7 57%
<6 26%
8-9 26%
10-11 26%
<6
26%
6-7
57%
8-9
26%
10-11
26%
12+
19%
6-7 57%
<6 26%
8-9 26%
10-11 26%
<6
26%
6-7
57%
8-9
26%
10-11
26%
12+
19%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) averaging roughly 6-8 seats, consistent with the market's leading 6-7 outcome. The three parties finalized their alliance in late August after extended negotiations over slate positions, with Hadash's Yousef Jabareen heading the list ahead of Ahmad Tibi and Sami Abu Shehadeh. Ra'am's separate run limits combined Arab representation while the 3.25% threshold and Arab voter turnout remain key variables. Current surveys place the list near or slightly above recent performance levels for the component parties, though higher mobilization or shifts in Zionist bloc dynamics could alter results before the September 9 candidate-list deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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