Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at roughly 21–27 seats, reflecting sustained erosion of support since the October 2023 Hamas attack and the subsequent multi-front conflicts. The party’s August 17 primaries, which elevated Eli Cohen to the top slot while Netanyahu consolidated influence over roughly one-third of the list, represent an effort to broaden appeal beyond the religious-right base, yet internal tensions and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have kept projections volatile. Trader consensus around the 20–29 seat bands captures this uncertainty, driven by coalition arithmetic shortfalls, ultra-Orthodox draft disputes, and shifting security conditions that could either consolidate right-wing voters or accelerate losses to centrist alternatives. Late-campaign developments in Gaza, Hezbollah, or Iran policy remain the clearest potential catalysts for separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Vol.
$102,395 Vol.
26 oct 2026
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
29%
30-34
18%
35+
5%
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 Vol.
$102,395 Vol.
26 oct 2026
<20
$33,123 Vol.
18%
20-24
$15,595 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,708 Vol.
29%
30-34
$19,721 Vol.
18%
35+
$9,249 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at roughly 21–27 seats, reflecting sustained erosion of support since the October 2023 Hamas attack and the subsequent multi-front conflicts. The party’s August 17 primaries, which elevated Eli Cohen to the top slot while Netanyahu consolidated influence over roughly one-third of the list, represent an effort to broaden appeal beyond the religious-right base, yet internal tensions and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have kept projections volatile. Trader consensus around the 20–29 seat bands captures this uncertainty, driven by coalition arithmetic shortfalls, ultra-Orthodox draft disputes, and shifting security conditions that could either consolidate right-wing voters or accelerate losses to centrist alternatives. Late-campaign developments in Gaza, Hezbollah, or Iran policy remain the clearest potential catalysts for separation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volumen
$102,395Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at roughly 21–27 seats, reflecting sustained erosion of support since the October 2023 Hamas attack and the subsequent multi-front conflicts. The party’s August 17 primaries, which elevated Eli Cohen to the top slot while Netanyahu consolidated influence over roughly one-third of the list, represent an effort to broaden appeal beyond the religious-right base, yet internal tensions and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have kept projections volatile. Trader consensus around the 20–29 seat bands captures this uncertainty, driven by coalition arithmetic shortfalls, ultra-Orthodox draft disputes, and shifting security conditions that could either consolidate right-wing voters or accelerate losses to centrist alternatives. Late-campaign developments in Gaza, Hezbollah, or Iran policy remain the clearest potential catalysts for separation.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volumen
$102,395Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud at roughly 21–27 seats, reflecting sustained erosion of support since the October 2023 Hamas attack and the subsequent multi-front conflicts. The party’s August 17 primaries, which elevated Eli Cohen to the top slot while Netanyahu consolidated influence over roughly one-third of the list, represent an effort to broaden appeal beyond the religious-right base, yet internal tensions and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have kept projections volatile. Trader consensus around the 20–29 seat bands captures this uncertainty, driven by coalition arithmetic shortfalls, ultra-Orthodox draft disputes, and shifting security conditions that could either consolidate right-wing voters or accelerate losses to centrist alternatives. Late-campaign developments in Gaza, Hezbollah, or Iran policy remain the clearest potential catalysts for separation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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