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icon for FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Thomas Chalifoux 29%

Ben Butler 27.8%

Jorge Martínez 23.2%

Dan Green 22%

Polymarket

$107,330 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux 29%

Ben Butler 27.8%

Jorge Martínez 23.2%

Dan Green 22%

Polymarket

$107,330 Vol.

icon for Thomas Chalifoux

Thomas Chalifoux

$30,813 Vol.

29%

icon for Ben Butler

Ben Butler

$19,470 Vol.

28%

icon for Jorge Martínez

Jorge Martínez

$13,315 Vol.

23%

icon for Dan Green

Dan Green

$12,470 Vol.

22%

icon for Marcus Carter

Marcus Carter

$2,899 Vol.

<1%

icon for Justin Story

Justin Story

$11,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Howard Steven Rance

Howard Steven Rance

$10,410 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Malavet

Jorge Malavet

$5,021 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Rance

Steve Rance

$1,509 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Victory Insights poll underscores the tight FL-09 Republican primary contest for the nomination to challenge Rep. Darren Soto, with Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied among likely voters and Dan Green close behind, amid 41% undecided. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a more favorable Republican tilt, drawing a crowded field that includes repeat candidate Chalifoux, who has self-funded millions, donor-backed rancher Butler with an endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, accountant Martinez, and veteran Green. Multiple candidate forums and limited polling have kept the race fragmented, with trader consensus reflecting the lack of separation. Early voting through August 15 and primary-day turnout on August 18 could still shift momentum among the top contenders before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$107,330
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent Victory Insights poll underscores the tight FL-09 Republican primary contest for the nomination to challenge Rep. Darren Soto, with Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied among likely voters and Dan Green close behind, amid 41% undecided. Redistricting has shifted the seat toward a more favorable Republican tilt, drawing a crowded field that includes repeat candidate Chalifoux, who has self-funded millions, donor-backed rancher Butler with an endorsement from Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, accountant Martinez, and veteran Green. Multiple candidate forums and limited polling have kept the race fragmented, with trader consensus reflecting the lack of separation. Early voting through August 15 and primary-day turnout on August 18 could still shift momentum among the top contenders before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$107,330
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 28%, seguido de "Ben Butler" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $107.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Thomas Chalifoux" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ben Butler" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-09 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.