Recent polling from Victory Insights shows the four leading candidates—Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, Jorge Martinez, and Dan Green—statistically tied within the margin of error among likely Republican primary voters in Florida’s 9th Congressional District, reflecting a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Chalifoux, the 2024 GOP nominee and Army veteran, draws on prior name recognition and substantial self-funding, while Martinez emphasizes cost-of-living issues as a Cuban-American businessman, Butler highlights agriculture and water policy as an Okeechobee rancher, and Green focuses on national security drawing from his Trump administration experience. With the August 18 primary just days away, late endorsements, turnout among key conservative blocs, and any final campaign events could shift support and create separation among the top contenders in this closely contested nomination race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoThomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 27.9%
Jorge Martínez 23.2%
Dan Green 23%
$107,067 Vol.
$107,067 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
28%

Jorge Martínez
23%

Dan Green
23%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
Thomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 27.9%
Jorge Martínez 23.2%
Dan Green 23%
$107,067 Vol.
$107,067 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
28%

Jorge Martínez
23%

Dan Green
23%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Victory Insights shows the four leading candidates—Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, Jorge Martinez, and Dan Green—statistically tied within the margin of error among likely Republican primary voters in Florida’s 9th Congressional District, reflecting a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Chalifoux, the 2024 GOP nominee and Army veteran, draws on prior name recognition and substantial self-funding, while Martinez emphasizes cost-of-living issues as a Cuban-American businessman, Butler highlights agriculture and water policy as an Okeechobee rancher, and Green focuses on national security drawing from his Trump administration experience. With the August 18 primary just days away, late endorsements, turnout among key conservative blocs, and any final campaign events could shift support and create separation among the top contenders in this closely contested nomination race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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