Eric Barlow holds a dominant position in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, set for August 18, driven by recent internal polling showing him well ahead of the field and consistent trader consensus reflected in current pricing. As a sitting state senator with deep local roots in energy-producing areas, Barlow has consolidated support among Republican voters in a low-turnout primary environment. Megan Degenfelder, the state superintendent of public instruction, remains the clearest alternative but trails despite leading in total fundraising; differences in individual donor breadth and recent survey movement have widened the gap. Lower-polling entrants such as Brent Bien and others face structural barriers in name recognition and organization this close to voting. The open seat, created by term limits on the incumbent, has produced a compressed timeline that amplifies the impact of late-cycle polling and resource allocation on final nominee probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEric Barlow 81.8%
Megan Degenfelder 15.7%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$265,083 Vol.
$265,083 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
16%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Eric Barlow 81.8%
Megan Degenfelder 15.7%
Brent Bien 2.9%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$265,083 Vol.
$265,083 Vol.
Eric Barlow
82%
Megan Degenfelder
16%
Brent Bien
3%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eric Barlow holds a dominant position in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, set for August 18, driven by recent internal polling showing him well ahead of the field and consistent trader consensus reflected in current pricing. As a sitting state senator with deep local roots in energy-producing areas, Barlow has consolidated support among Republican voters in a low-turnout primary environment. Megan Degenfelder, the state superintendent of public instruction, remains the clearest alternative but trails despite leading in total fundraising; differences in individual donor breadth and recent survey movement have widened the gap. Lower-polling entrants such as Brent Bien and others face structural barriers in name recognition and organization this close to voting. The open seat, created by term limits on the incumbent, has produced a compressed timeline that amplifies the impact of late-cycle polling and resource allocation on final nominee probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes