Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek following their respective primary victories in August 2026. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge, consistent with Iowa's Republican lean and historical voting patterns in federal races. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising totals, greater cash reserves, and endorsements including from Ernst and President Trump, which have supported her positioning in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests. Turek, a state legislator, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through targeted outreach, though broader structural factors continue to favor the Republican candidate in trader assessments of the November outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
$180,830 Vol.
$180,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$180,830 Vol.
$180,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$91,343 Vol.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,487 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek following their respective primary victories in August 2026. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge, consistent with Iowa's Republican lean and historical voting patterns in federal races. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising totals, greater cash reserves, and endorsements including from Ernst and President Trump, which have supported her positioning in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests. Turek, a state legislator, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through targeted outreach, though broader structural factors continue to favor the Republican candidate in trader assessments of the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volumen
$180,830Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek following their respective primary victories in August 2026. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge, consistent with Iowa's Republican lean and historical voting patterns in federal races. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising totals, greater cash reserves, and endorsements including from Ernst and President Trump, which have supported her positioning in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests. Turek, a state legislator, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through targeted outreach, though broader structural factors continue to favor the Republican candidate in trader assessments of the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$180,830Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson against Democratic nominee Josh Turek following their respective primary victories in August 2026. Recent polling averages show Hinson holding a narrow edge, consistent with Iowa's Republican lean and historical voting patterns in federal races. Hinson benefits from stronger fundraising totals, greater cash reserves, and endorsements including from Ernst and President Trump, which have supported her positioning in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate contests. Turek, a state legislator, has narrowed the gap in some surveys through targeted outreach, though broader structural factors continue to favor the Republican candidate in trader assessments of the November outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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