Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith, who won a fragmented GOP primary with 29.5 percent. Oregon's consistent Democratic preference in Senate contests since 2002, combined with Merkley's long tenure and the absence of general-election polling or major campaign shifts as of mid-August 2026, underpins trader consensus around a wide margin. The race remains early, with ballots set to mail in October ahead of the November 3 election. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking state-specific scandal could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such possibilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Oregón
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Oregón
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
97%
Republicano
3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$3,632 Vol.
97%
Republicano
$2,946 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith, who won a fragmented GOP primary with 29.5 percent. Oregon's consistent Democratic preference in Senate contests since 2002, combined with Merkley's long tenure and the absence of general-election polling or major campaign shifts as of mid-August 2026, underpins trader consensus around a wide margin. The race remains early, with ballots set to mail in October ahead of the November 3 election. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking state-specific scandal could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$6,578Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith, who won a fragmented GOP primary with 29.5 percent. Oregon's consistent Democratic preference in Senate contests since 2002, combined with Merkley's long tenure and the absence of general-election polling or major campaign shifts as of mid-August 2026, underpins trader consensus around a wide margin. The race remains early, with ballots set to mail in October ahead of the November 3 election. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking state-specific scandal could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$6,578Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination with over 93 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican state senator David Brock Smith, who won a fragmented GOP primary with 29.5 percent. Oregon's consistent Democratic preference in Senate contests since 2002, combined with Merkley's long tenure and the absence of general-election polling or major campaign shifts as of mid-August 2026, underpins trader consensus around a wide margin. The race remains early, with ballots set to mail in October ahead of the November 3 election. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking state-specific scandal could still alter the outcome, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such possibilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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