Mary Peltola's January 2026 entry into the race against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan quickly turned the Alaska Senate contest into a toss-up, with recent Alaska Survey Research polls showing her holding narrow leads or near ties around 48-51 percent. Peltola's substantial fundraising advantage, including raising nearly $7 million in one recent quarter compared to Sullivan's totals, has supported stronger grassroots and advertising efforts in a state using ranked-choice voting. Forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat competitive due to Peltola's prior statewide performance and voter concerns over fuel costs and federal policy impacts. These factors sustain the market's tight split near 50-50, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs, late-cycle polling shifts, or national environment changes before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Alaska
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,681 Vol.
$393,681 Vol.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$393,681 Vol.
$393,681 Vol.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola's January 2026 entry into the race against incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan quickly turned the Alaska Senate contest into a toss-up, with recent Alaska Survey Research polls showing her holding narrow leads or near ties around 48-51 percent. Peltola's substantial fundraising advantage, including raising nearly $7 million in one recent quarter compared to Sullivan's totals, has supported stronger grassroots and advertising efforts in a state using ranked-choice voting. Forecasters such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat competitive due to Peltola's prior statewide performance and voter concerns over fuel costs and federal policy impacts. These factors sustain the market's tight split near 50-50, with separation likely hinging on turnout among key voting blocs, late-cycle polling shifts, or national environment changes before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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