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icon for Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin

Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin

icon for Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin

Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin

Polymarket

$292,452 Vol.

Polymarket

$292,452 Vol.

icon for David Crowley (D)

David Crowley (D)

$110,502 Vol.

78%

icon for Tom Tiffany (R)

Tom Tiffany (R)

$181,949 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$292,452
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026, primary after re-entering the race and defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in an upset victory.** Incumbent Gov. Tony Evers opted not to seek a third term, leaving an open seat. Crowley, the Milwaukee County executive, positioned himself as a moderate focused on economic issues and has drawn support as the candidate best positioned for the general election against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. Tiffany, who won the Republican primary without significant opposition and holds President Donald Trump’s endorsement, represents a more conservative profile aligned with the House Freedom Caucus. Forecasters rate the November 3, 2026, contest a toss-up, reflecting Wisconsin’s status as a swing state where turnout, key voting blocs, and campaign dynamics in battleground areas could influence the outcome. Trader consensus reflected in the market odds favors Crowley, consistent with historical patterns in recent state executive races and the perceived general-election advantages of the moderate Democratic nominee. No major new polling or events have altered positioning since the primaries concluded.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$292,452
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "David Crowley (D)" con 78%, seguido de "Tom Tiffany (R)" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 78¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin" ha generado $292.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin" es "David Crowley (D)" con 78%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 78% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Tom Tiffany (R)" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Wisconsin" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.