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icon for Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación
Elecciones·Participación

Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación

icon for Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación
Elecciones·Participación

Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación

<225K 45%

225K-250K 45%

250K-275K 45%

275K-300K 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<225K 45%

225K-250K 45%

250K-275K 45%

275K-300K 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<225K

$0 Vol.

45%

225K-250K

$0 Vol.

45%

250K-275K

$0 Vol.

45%

275K-300K

$0 Vol.

45%

300K-325K

$0 Vol.

45%

325K-350K

$0 Vol.

45%

350K o más

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial election on November 3 features incumbent Republican Phil Scott facing Democrat Amanda Janoo following her narrow primary victory, with recent polls showing Scott ahead by single digits. This moderate contest, combined with Vermont's automatic ballot mailing to registered voters, creates uncertainty over total ballots cast, as historical off-year turnout has ranged from roughly 278,000 in 2018 to over 370,000 in presidential cycles like 2024. Low early voting in the August primary and typical summer scheduling factors suggest potential for subdued participation unless stronger party mobilization or late campaign developments increase engagement among key voting blocs. Traders' even pricing across turnout ranges reflects this balance of structural elements and variable enthusiasm heading into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial election on November 3 features incumbent Republican Phil Scott facing Democrat Amanda Janoo following her narrow primary victory, with recent polls showing Scott ahead by single digits. This moderate contest, combined with Vermont's automatic ballot mailing to registered voters, creates uncertainty over total ballots cast, as historical off-year turnout has ranged from roughly 278,000 in 2018 to over 370,000 in presidential cycles like 2024. Low early voting in the August primary and typical summer scheduling factors suggest potential for subdued participation unless stronger party mobilization or late campaign developments increase engagement among key voting blocs. Traders' even pricing across turnout ranges reflects this balance of structural elements and variable enthusiasm heading into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<225K" con 45%, seguido de "225K-250K" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 18, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación" es "<225K" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "225K-250K" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección del gobernador de Vermont: participación" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.