High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElección del gobernador de Pensilvania: participación
Elección del gobernador de Pensilvania: participación
4,5M-5M 45%
5,5M-6M 45%
6.5M+ 45%
5M-5.5M 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<4M
44%
4M-4.5M
44%
4,5M-5M
45%
5M-5.5M
44%
5,5M-6M
45%
6M-6.5M
44%
6.5M+
45%
4,5M-5M 45%
5,5M-6M 45%
6.5M+ 45%
5M-5.5M 44%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
<4M
$0 Vol.
44%
4M-4.5M
$0 Vol.
44%
4,5M-5M
$0 Vol.
45%
5M-5.5M
$0 Vol.
44%
5,5M-6M
$0 Vol.
45%
6M-6.5M
$0 Vol.
44%
6.5M+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty around Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial turnout reflects the race's early August positioning, with incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro heavily favored over Republican Stacy Garrity and limited direct polling on participation rates. The May primary showed stronger Democratic engagement at roughly 1.1 million ballots versus 640,000 Republican ones, though uncontested races limited its value as a predictor. Broader factors include historical midterm patterns near 5 million total votes, Pennsylvania's mail-in and early voting framework, registered voter imbalances, and variable enthusiasm tied to economic conditions or state issues. Recent campaign mobilization efforts and national political signals could shift probabilities by clarifying mobilization gaps or boosting overall participation before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones intermedias de 2026 para Gobernador de Maryland menor que 1,550,000?
45%
Sí
¿Será el total de votos emitidos en las elecciones intermedias de 2026 para gobernador de California menor a 10,500,000?
45%
Sí
¿El total de votos emitidos en las elecciones intermedias de 2026 para Gobernador de Arizona estará entre 2,000,000 y 2,150,000?
45%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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