Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party. Smucker advanced through the May primary without significant opposition, while Mannion secured the Democratic nomination in recent primaries. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with the absence of polling shifts, major endorsements altering dynamics, or competitive fundraising signals that would narrow the gap. Limited Democratic prospects in this district sustain the wide probability spread heading into the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de PA-11
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$14,782 Vol.
$14,782 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,832 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$4,950 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party. Smucker advanced through the May primary without significant opposition, while Mannion secured the Democratic nomination in recent primaries. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with the absence of polling shifts, major endorsements altering dynamics, or competitive fundraising signals that would narrow the gap. Limited Democratic prospects in this district sustain the wide probability spread heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party. Smucker advanced through the May primary without significant opposition, while Mannion secured the Democratic nomination in recent primaries. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with the absence of polling shifts, major endorsements altering dynamics, or competitive fundraising signals that would narrow the gap. Limited Democratic prospects in this district sustain the wide probability spread heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,782Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lloyd Smucker faces Democratic nominee Nancy Mannion in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting indices, anchors trader consensus at 90% for the Republican Party. Smucker advanced through the May primary without significant opposition, while Mannion secured the Democratic nomination in recent primaries. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, aligning with the absence of polling shifts, major endorsements altering dynamics, or competitive fundraising signals that would narrow the gap. Limited Democratic prospects in this district sustain the wide probability spread heading into the general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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