Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 20 de agosto?
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
6%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
10%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C o más
1%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
17°C 25%
18°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
11°C o menos
$5 Vol.
1%
12°C
$5 Vol.
6%
13°C
$0 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
25%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$4 Vol.
4%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C o más
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling following a mid-August heatwave in northern France has positioned trader sentiment around 15–17°C minima for Paris on August 20, with models showing a shift to a fresher Atlantic air mass under increasing cloud cover. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows near 15–16°C as radiative cooling is moderated by stratiform clouds and moderate westerly flow, while slight variations in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could push the minimum to 14°C or hold it at 17°C. Historical August climatology places typical minima near 15°C, but the current pattern’s modest onshore advection creates tight clustering around these thresholds rather than deeper cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine dewpoint and wind profiles ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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