Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 18 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 18 de agosto?
19°C 68%
20°C 59%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
68%
20°C
44%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 68%
20°C 59%
17°C 3%
18°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
15°C o menos
$641 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$460 Vol.
2%
17°C
$798 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,208 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,104 Vol.
68%
20°C
$472 Vol.
44%
21°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$966 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$7,639Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,639Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Paris on August 18 indicate a mild, muggy night with partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, supporting an overnight low near 19°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the tightly matched 19°C (50.5%) and 20°C (42.5%) market-implied odds. Radiative cooling under broken cloud cover allows moderate temperature drops after daytime highs near 29–30°C, while urban heat retention and humidity limit further decline. Slight variations in exact minimum hinge on precise cloud timing and local measurement sites, with models showing minor divergence around these thresholds. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, placing today's conditions slightly above baseline and explaining why probabilities cluster here rather than at cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs or real-time observations could refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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