Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 18 de agosto?
23°C 47%
24°C 39%
25°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
NUEVO
$51,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$51,821 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
54%
24°C
39%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 39%
25°C 7%
26°C 2.8%
NUEVO
$51,821 Vol.
NUEVO
$51,821 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C or below
$635 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,809 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,725 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10,799 Vol.
54%
24°C
$7,077 Vol.
39%
25°C
$3,292 Vol.
7%
26°C
$3,870 Vol.
3%
27°C
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,201 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$51,821Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51,821Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overcast skies and widespread thundershowers or heavy rain on August 18, which limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Official model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime maximum near 25°C under these conditions, well below the typical August high of 30–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure. This supports trader consensus favoring 23°C (53.5% implied probability) and 24°C (40.0%) as the most likely outcomes, with only slim odds above 25°C. Updated model runs incorporating the current low-pressure system and high humidity levels continue to reinforce these cooler maxima ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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