Trader consensus has converged at 100% implied probability on a Seattle high of 78–79°F for August 17 because official observations at Sea-Tac Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature squarely in that narrow band. Mid-August climatology around 77°F, combined with a warmer-than-average summer pattern driven by persistent ridging and light winds, aligned with model guidance and surface observations to produce this exact outcome. Scenarios that could have challenged the result—such as stronger onshore flow, unexpected marine layer deepening, or a timing shift in a passing disturbance—did not materialize, leaving the measured value decisive for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 17 de agosto?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$42,102 Vol.
$42,102 Vol.
17 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$42,102 Vol.
$42,102 Vol.
17 ago 2026
71°F or below
$7,827 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,485 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$4,526 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,441 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$5,406 Vol.
100%
80-81°F
$4,097 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,656 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,583 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$416 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged at 100% implied probability on a Seattle high of 78–79°F for August 17 because official observations at Sea-Tac Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature squarely in that narrow band. Mid-August climatology around 77°F, combined with a warmer-than-average summer pattern driven by persistent ridging and light winds, aligned with model guidance and surface observations to produce this exact outcome. Scenarios that could have challenged the result—such as stronger onshore flow, unexpected marine layer deepening, or a timing shift in a passing disturbance—did not materialize, leaving the measured value decisive for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volumen
$42,102Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged at 100% implied probability on a Seattle high of 78–79°F for August 17 because official observations at Sea-Tac Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature squarely in that narrow band. Mid-August climatology around 77°F, combined with a warmer-than-average summer pattern driven by persistent ridging and light winds, aligned with model guidance and surface observations to produce this exact outcome. Scenarios that could have challenged the result—such as stronger onshore flow, unexpected marine layer deepening, or a timing shift in a passing disturbance—did not materialize, leaving the measured value decisive for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42,102Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has converged at 100% implied probability on a Seattle high of 78–79°F for August 17 because official observations at Sea-Tac Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature squarely in that narrow band. Mid-August climatology around 77°F, combined with a warmer-than-average summer pattern driven by persistent ridging and light winds, aligned with model guidance and surface observations to produce this exact outcome. Scenarios that could have challenged the result—such as stronger onshore flow, unexpected marine layer deepening, or a timing shift in a passing disturbance—did not materialize, leaving the measured value decisive for market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes