Persistent cool southerly and southwesterly flow, driven by polar air intrusions and showery conditions, is suppressing daytime heating across Wellington on August 18, keeping maxima aligned with or slightly below the 12 °C August climatological average. MetService and NIWA guidance, informed by short-range model consensus, points to limited solar insolation under cloudy skies and strengthening marine air, consistent with recent analogous days that resolved at 10–11 °C. This synoptic setup underpins the 94.5 % market-implied probability on 12 °C as the highest temperature. A shift toward 13 °C would require unexpected clearing or delayed frontal timing, while official observations at Kelburn and the airport serve as the resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 18 de agosto?
12°C 99.3%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
NUEVO
$88,133 Vol.
NUEVO
$88,133 Vol.
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.3%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
6°C or below <1%
NUEVO
$88,133 Vol.
NUEVO
$88,133 Vol.
18 ago 2026
6°C or below
$339 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$850 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,498 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$3,896 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$11,605 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$32,898 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$18,699 Vol.
99%
13°C
$7,675 Vol.
1%
14°C
$4,732 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,105 Vol.
1%
16°C or higher
$1,836 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cool southerly and southwesterly flow, driven by polar air intrusions and showery conditions, is suppressing daytime heating across Wellington on August 18, keeping maxima aligned with or slightly below the 12 °C August climatological average. MetService and NIWA guidance, informed by short-range model consensus, points to limited solar insolation under cloudy skies and strengthening marine air, consistent with recent analogous days that resolved at 10–11 °C. This synoptic setup underpins the 94.5 % market-implied probability on 12 °C as the highest temperature. A shift toward 13 °C would require unexpected clearing or delayed frontal timing, while official observations at Kelburn and the airport serve as the resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$88,133Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cool southerly and southwesterly flow, driven by polar air intrusions and showery conditions, is suppressing daytime heating across Wellington on August 18, keeping maxima aligned with or slightly below the 12 °C August climatological average. MetService and NIWA guidance, informed by short-range model consensus, points to limited solar insolation under cloudy skies and strengthening marine air, consistent with recent analogous days that resolved at 10–11 °C. This synoptic setup underpins the 94.5 % market-implied probability on 12 °C as the highest temperature. A shift toward 13 °C would require unexpected clearing or delayed frontal timing, while official observations at Kelburn and the airport serve as the resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$88,133Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cool southerly and southwesterly flow, driven by polar air intrusions and showery conditions, is suppressing daytime heating across Wellington on August 18, keeping maxima aligned with or slightly below the 12 °C August climatological average. MetService and NIWA guidance, informed by short-range model consensus, points to limited solar insolation under cloudy skies and strengthening marine air, consistent with recent analogous days that resolved at 10–11 °C. This synoptic setup underpins the 94.5 % market-implied probability on 12 °C as the highest temperature. A shift toward 13 °C would require unexpected clearing or delayed frontal timing, while official observations at Kelburn and the airport serve as the resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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