Recent cooling from Atlantic maritime air masses is driving trader consensus toward a 23–25°C peak for Paris on August 19, as models show a sharp transition from mid-August heat. Earlier highs near 33–38°C gave way to partly cloudy conditions on the 18th, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures around 24–27°C. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering in this range due to uncertainty in exact frontal timing and shower intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, but the unsettled pattern favors the closely matched leading outcomes over hotter or cooler extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 19 de agosto?
24°C 24%
23°C 18%
25°C 13%
27°C 12%
NUEVO
$25,733 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,733 Vol.
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
18%
24°C
24%
25°C
13%
26°C
7%
27°C
12%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
8%
24°C 24%
23°C 18%
25°C 13%
27°C 12%
NUEVO
$25,733 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,733 Vol.
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
$787 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$934 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,355 Vol.
4%
22°C
$1,893 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,563 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2,299 Vol.
24%
25°C
$1,386 Vol.
13%
26°C
$1,792 Vol.
7%
27°C
$2,967 Vol.
12%
28°C
$3,848 Vol.
8%
29°C or higher
$5,908 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from Atlantic maritime air masses is driving trader consensus toward a 23–25°C peak for Paris on August 19, as models show a sharp transition from mid-August heat. Earlier highs near 33–38°C gave way to partly cloudy conditions on the 18th, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures around 24–27°C. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering in this range due to uncertainty in exact frontal timing and shower intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, but the unsettled pattern favors the closely matched leading outcomes over hotter or cooler extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$25,733Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from Atlantic maritime air masses is driving trader consensus toward a 23–25°C peak for Paris on August 19, as models show a sharp transition from mid-August heat. Earlier highs near 33–38°C gave way to partly cloudy conditions on the 18th, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures around 24–27°C. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering in this range due to uncertainty in exact frontal timing and shower intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, but the unsettled pattern favors the closely matched leading outcomes over hotter or cooler extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,733Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from Atlantic maritime air masses is driving trader consensus toward a 23–25°C peak for Paris on August 19, as models show a sharp transition from mid-August heat. Earlier highs near 33–38°C gave way to partly cloudy conditions on the 18th, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures around 24–27°C. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF exhibit tight clustering in this range due to uncertainty in exact frontal timing and shower intensity, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 24–25°C provide context, but the unsettled pattern favors the closely matched leading outcomes over hotter or cooler extremes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes