Recent forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that limit further warming. These align with long-term August averages near 31°C and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid moisture and convective activity. Trader sentiment, with 31°C at 74% implied probability, captures this consensus while assigning modest odds to 32°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact model outputs and potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 18 de agosto?
31°C 73%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
33°C <1%
NUEVO
$61,102 Vol.
NUEVO
$61,102 Vol.
18 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
73%
32°C
17%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 73%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
33°C <1%
NUEVO
$61,102 Vol.
NUEVO
$61,102 Vol.
18 ago 2026
26°C or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,038 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12,059 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,478 Vol.
10%
31°C
$7,880 Vol.
73%
32°C
$10,518 Vol.
17%
33°C
$5,427 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,888 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that limit further warming. These align with long-term August averages near 31°C and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid moisture and convective activity. Trader sentiment, with 31°C at 74% implied probability, captures this consensus while assigning modest odds to 32°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact model outputs and potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$61,102Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that limit further warming. These align with long-term August averages near 31°C and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid moisture and convective activity. Trader sentiment, with 31°C at 74% implied probability, captures this consensus while assigning modest odds to 32°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact model outputs and potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$61,102Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that limit further warming. These align with long-term August averages near 31°C and recent observational trends showing suppressed peaks amid moisture and convective activity. Trader sentiment, with 31°C at 74% implied probability, captures this consensus while assigning modest odds to 32°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact model outputs and potential for minor forecast revisions before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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