Current forecast models and observational data from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 18, driving the market's 99% implied probability on that outcome. Typical August diurnal ranges in the region feature overnight lows near 25–26°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited cooling from cloud cover or precipitation expected today. Historical baselines and recent model consensus support this narrow band, as no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture influxes have altered the pattern. Traders' strong consensus reflects this data stability, though an unexpected late-day shift in wind patterns or localized heavy rainfall could still produce a 1–2°C deviation from the projected minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 18 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 18 de agosto?
26°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,904 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,904 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
26°C 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NUEVO
$16,904 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,904 Vol.
18 ago 2026
20°C o menos
$462 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,891 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,597 Vol.
99%
27°C
$4,660 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,646 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$326 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 18, driving the market's 99% implied probability on that outcome. Typical August diurnal ranges in the region feature overnight lows near 25–26°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited cooling from cloud cover or precipitation expected today. Historical baselines and recent model consensus support this narrow band, as no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture influxes have altered the pattern. Traders' strong consensus reflects this data stability, though an unexpected late-day shift in wind patterns or localized heavy rainfall could still produce a 1–2°C deviation from the projected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$16,904Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and observational data from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 18, driving the market's 99% implied probability on that outcome. Typical August diurnal ranges in the region feature overnight lows near 25–26°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited cooling from cloud cover or precipitation expected today. Historical baselines and recent model consensus support this narrow band, as no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture influxes have altered the pattern. Traders' strong consensus reflects this data stability, though an unexpected late-day shift in wind patterns or localized heavy rainfall could still produce a 1–2°C deviation from the projected minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,904Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and observational data from agencies monitoring East Asian summer conditions indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 18, driving the market's 99% implied probability on that outcome. Typical August diurnal ranges in the region feature overnight lows near 25–26°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited cooling from cloud cover or precipitation expected today. Historical baselines and recent model consensus support this narrow band, as no significant frontal systems or anomalous moisture influxes have altered the pattern. Traders' strong consensus reflects this data stability, though an unexpected late-day shift in wind patterns or localized heavy rainfall could still produce a 1–2°C deviation from the projected minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes