Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 20 de agosto?
28°C 51%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 51%
27°C 27%
26°C 25%
29°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
23°C or below
$21 Vol.
1%
24°C
$21 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
7%
26°C
$647 Vol.
25%
27°C
$78 Vol.
27%
28°C
$79 Vol.
27%
29°C
$95 Vol.
15%
30°C
$24 Vol.
14%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C
$5 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$986Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$986Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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