Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models project Istanbul’s August 18 daily maximum near 30–31°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average highs reach 28–30°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate northeasterly winds, typically limit daytime heating and introduce slight variability in peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with low odds of exceeding 32°C or dropping below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast range, weighting 30°C highest while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent outcomes based on historical model spread and verification against official Turkish Meteorological Service data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 18 de agosto?
30°C 45%
31°C 25%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
$34,019 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,019 Vol.
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
21%
30°C
45%
31°C
25%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 45%
31°C 25%
29°C 21%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
$34,019 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,019 Vol.
18 ago 2026
24°C or below
$292 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$883 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,700 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,414 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5,090 Vol.
21%
30°C
$4,582 Vol.
45%
31°C
$6,193 Vol.
25%
32°C
$2,952 Vol.
7%
33°C
$6,898 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$1,983 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models project Istanbul’s August 18 daily maximum near 30–31°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average highs reach 28–30°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate northeasterly winds, typically limit daytime heating and introduce slight variability in peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with low odds of exceeding 32°C or dropping below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast range, weighting 30°C highest while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent outcomes based on historical model spread and verification against official Turkish Meteorological Service data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$34,019Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models project Istanbul’s August 18 daily maximum near 30–31°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average highs reach 28–30°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate northeasterly winds, typically limit daytime heating and introduce slight variability in peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with low odds of exceeding 32°C or dropping below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast range, weighting 30°C highest while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent outcomes based on historical model spread and verification against official Turkish Meteorological Service data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,019Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and regional models project Istanbul’s August 18 daily maximum near 30–31°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean patterns where average highs reach 28–30°C. Sea breezes from the Black Sea and Bosphorus, combined with moderate northeasterly winds, typically limit daytime heating and introduce slight variability in peak readings. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with low odds of exceeding 32°C or dropping below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in cloud cover or wind. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast range, weighting 30°C highest while assigning meaningful probability to adjacent outcomes based on historical model spread and verification against official Turkish Meteorological Service data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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