Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below 35°C despite the region's typical subtropical summer peak. Persistent humidity and precipitation chances around 20-50% are expected to suppress temperatures further, aligning with trader emphasis on the 33°C-or-below outcome at 71.5% implied probability. This setup reflects seasonal monsoon influences and short-term steering patterns that favor cooler-than-average maxima, with limited upside risk for 36°C or higher given the forecast evolution. Updated runs from official agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 2 de agosto?
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
$23,792 Vol.
$23,792 Vol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C o más
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
$23,792 Vol.
$23,792 Vol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather points to widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, limiting solar heating and capping daytime highs near or below 35°C despite the region's typical subtropical summer peak. Persistent humidity and precipitation chances around 20-50% are expected to suppress temperatures further, aligning with trader emphasis on the 33°C-or-below outcome at 71.5% implied probability. This setup reflects seasonal monsoon influences and short-term steering patterns that favor cooler-than-average maxima, with limited upside risk for 36°C or higher given the forecast evolution. Updated runs from official agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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