Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 2 de agosto?
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 21%
74-75°F 10%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a high near 70°F in Seattle on August 2, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Pacific and a strengthening marine layer that limits afternoon warming. These conditions favor the tightly bunched 68–71°F outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities. Seattle’s typical early-August climatology features highs of 75–78°F under clearer skies, but increased cloud cover and a modest trough offshore have kept temperatures closer to seasonal norms this week. Updated model consensus and boundary-layer moisture trends will refine the exact maximum before resolution tomorrow evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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