**Market consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from official observational data released by the Hong Kong Observatory.** Recent model runs and surface analyses indicated increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the summer monsoon trough, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near or slightly below the July climatological average of roughly 31–32 °C. Persistent moisture and limited solar insolation narrowed the diurnal range, aligning closely with the verified peak of 27 °C. This outcome carries overwhelming implied probability because the measurement is now complete and subject only to routine quality-control revisions. The primary risk to this resolution would be an unexpected post-analysis correction exceeding one degree, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 31 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 31 de julio?
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$171,052 Vol.
$171,052 Vol.
31 jul 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$171,052 Vol.
$171,052 Vol.
31 jul 2026
24°C or below
$411 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$29,948 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$41,096 Vol.
100%
28°C
$31,356 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20,299 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,263 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15,763 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,454 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,340 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from official observational data released by the Hong Kong Observatory.** Recent model runs and surface analyses indicated increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the summer monsoon trough, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near or slightly below the July climatological average of roughly 31–32 °C. Persistent moisture and limited solar insolation narrowed the diurnal range, aligning closely with the verified peak of 27 °C. This outcome carries overwhelming implied probability because the measurement is now complete and subject only to routine quality-control revisions. The primary risk to this resolution would be an unexpected post-analysis correction exceeding one degree, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$171,052Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Market consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from official observational data released by the Hong Kong Observatory.** Recent model runs and surface analyses indicated increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the summer monsoon trough, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near or slightly below the July climatological average of roughly 31–32 °C. Persistent moisture and limited solar insolation narrowed the diurnal range, aligning closely with the verified peak of 27 °C. This outcome carries overwhelming implied probability because the measurement is now complete and subject only to routine quality-control revisions. The primary risk to this resolution would be an unexpected post-analysis correction exceeding one degree, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$171,052Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market consensus has converged on 27°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on July 31, 2026, reflecting near-certainty from official observational data released by the Hong Kong Observatory.** Recent model runs and surface analyses indicated increased cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the summer monsoon trough, suppressing daytime heating and capping the maximum near or slightly below the July climatological average of roughly 31–32 °C. Persistent moisture and limited solar insolation narrowed the diurnal range, aligning closely with the verified peak of 27 °C. This outcome carries overwhelming implied probability because the measurement is now complete and subject only to routine quality-control revisions. The primary risk to this resolution would be an unexpected post-analysis correction exceeding one degree, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for daily maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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