Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a peak temperature of 37–38°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid subtropical high-pressure influence, partly sunny skies, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat island effects and southerly flow sustain high readings near or slightly above the 36–37°C climatological baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 37°C, reflecting model consensus on limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and precipitation chances that could cap extremes. Updated guidance shows stable steering patterns with no significant shifts expected before resolution, though minor revisions in convective timing could nudge the observed high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 1 de agosto?
37°C 68%
38°C 27%
39°C 3.1%
40°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$63,936 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,936 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
68%
38°C
27%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 68%
38°C 27%
39°C 3.1%
40°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$63,936 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,936 Vol.
1 ago 2026
31°C or below
$830 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,038 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,893 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$16,205 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$8,414 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$9,295 Vol.
68%
38°C
$7,014 Vol.
27%
39°C
$8,255 Vol.
3%
40°C
$3,999 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$2,599 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a peak temperature of 37–38°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid subtropical high-pressure influence, partly sunny skies, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat island effects and southerly flow sustain high readings near or slightly above the 36–37°C climatological baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 37°C, reflecting model consensus on limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and precipitation chances that could cap extremes. Updated guidance shows stable steering patterns with no significant shifts expected before resolution, though minor revisions in convective timing could nudge the observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$63,936Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a peak temperature of 37–38°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid subtropical high-pressure influence, partly sunny skies, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat island effects and southerly flow sustain high readings near or slightly above the 36–37°C climatological baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 37°C, reflecting model consensus on limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and precipitation chances that could cap extremes. Updated guidance shows stable steering patterns with no significant shifts expected before resolution, though minor revisions in convective timing could nudge the observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$63,936Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a peak temperature of 37–38°C in Shanghai on August 1 amid subtropical high-pressure influence, partly sunny skies, and isolated afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns where urban heat island effects and southerly flow sustain high readings near or slightly above the 36–37°C climatological baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 37°C, reflecting model consensus on limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and precipitation chances that could cap extremes. Updated guidance shows stable steering patterns with no significant shifts expected before resolution, though minor revisions in convective timing could nudge the observed high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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