The overwhelming market consensus on 25°C as Buenos Aires' July 31 high stems from official observational data confirming that exact maximum temperature reading from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, this value exceeds typical July averages by roughly 8–10°C, driven by a transient warm air advection pattern under clear skies that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Forecasters from regional models aligned closely with the final measurement, leaving negligible room for revision. While post-event data audits or microsite discrepancies could theoretically adjust the recorded peak by 1°C, the multi-station verification and absence of conflicting reports make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 31 de julio?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,437 Vol.
$80,437 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$80,437 Vol.
$80,437 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 25°C as Buenos Aires' July 31 high stems from official observational data confirming that exact maximum temperature reading from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, this value exceeds typical July averages by roughly 8–10°C, driven by a transient warm air advection pattern under clear skies that suppressed nocturnal cooling. Forecasters from regional models aligned closely with the final measurement, leaving negligible room for revision. While post-event data audits or microsite discrepancies could theoretically adjust the recorded peak by 1°C, the multi-station verification and absence of conflicting reports make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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