Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European meteorological centers, point to a daytime maximum in Milan of 35–36°C on August 1 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring those thresholds, reflecting above-average August conditions (typical highs near 28–30°C) driven by persistent subtropical ridging over the Po Valley. Minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification at official stations introduces limited uncertainty, while no significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures before resolution. Updated short-range guidance later today will further refine the final recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 1 de agosto?
36°C 62%
35°C 37%
37°C 2.7%
34°C 1.5%
$39,484 Vol.
$39,484 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
62%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 62%
35°C 37%
37°C 2.7%
34°C 1.5%
$39,484 Vol.
$39,484 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
37%
36°C
62%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from European meteorological centers, point to a daytime maximum in Milan of 35–36°C on August 1 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring those thresholds, reflecting above-average August conditions (typical highs near 28–30°C) driven by persistent subtropical ridging over the Po Valley. Minor model spread in peak timing and urban heat-island amplification at official stations introduces limited uncertainty, while no significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures before resolution. Updated short-range guidance later today will further refine the final recorded high.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes