Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts a 36°C high for Tokyo on August 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, the main driver behind market odds clustering near 34–36°C. Urban heat island effects, high humidity typical of midsummer, and minimal wind are expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of seasonal norms, though variable afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks noting above-average temperatures across Honshu support elevated readings, while historical August maxima around 33–35°C provide context for the tight spread among leading outcomes; updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded value before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 1 de agosto?
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
$50,016 Vol.
$50,016 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
13%
34°C
33%
35°C
38%
36°C
14%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
$50,016 Vol.
$50,016 Vol.
1 ago 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,159 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,423 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$13,641 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,705 Vol.
13%
34°C
$2,704 Vol.
33%
35°C
$3,442 Vol.
38%
36°C
$3,957 Vol.
14%
37°C
$3,861 Vol.
3%
38°C
$4,529 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$3,371 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts a 36°C high for Tokyo on August 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, the main driver behind market odds clustering near 34–36°C. Urban heat island effects, high humidity typical of midsummer, and minimal wind are expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of seasonal norms, though variable afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks noting above-average temperatures across Honshu support elevated readings, while historical August maxima around 33–35°C provide context for the tight spread among leading outcomes; updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$50,016Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts a 36°C high for Tokyo on August 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, the main driver behind market odds clustering near 34–36°C. Urban heat island effects, high humidity typical of midsummer, and minimal wind are expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of seasonal norms, though variable afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks noting above-average temperatures across Honshu support elevated readings, while historical August maxima around 33–35°C provide context for the tight spread among leading outcomes; updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50,016Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts a 36°C high for Tokyo on August 1 under clear to partly cloudy skies, the main driver behind market odds clustering near 34–36°C. Urban heat island effects, high humidity typical of midsummer, and minimal wind are expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of seasonal norms, though variable afternoon cloud cover or localized showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. Recent JMA seasonal outlooks noting above-average temperatures across Honshu support elevated readings, while historical August maxima around 33–35°C provide context for the tight spread among leading outcomes; updated model runs and real-time observations will refine the final recorded value before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes