Recent forecast guidance from PAGASA and global models indicates Manila's August 1 maximum will likely peak near 33 °C under typical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but weak steering flow and urban heat-island effects support a modest upward bias reflected in the 50.5 % market-implied probability for 33 °C versus 26.5 % for 32 °C. Afternoon observations from local stations and satellite-derived land-surface temperatures will determine final resolution, with any late-day convective cooling or clearer skies able to shift the outcome toward lower or higher bins before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 1 de agosto?
33°C 46%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
35°C 3%
$10,459 Vol.
$10,459 Vol.
1 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
32%
33°C
51%
34°C
16%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C o más
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
35°C 3%
$10,459 Vol.
$10,459 Vol.
1 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$263 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,169 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$709 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,050 Vol.
32%
33°C
$941 Vol.
51%
34°C
$1,629 Vol.
16%
35°C
$1,404 Vol.
3%
36°C
$699 Vol.
1%
37°C o más
$451 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from PAGASA and global models indicates Manila's August 1 maximum will likely peak near 33 °C under typical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but weak steering flow and urban heat-island effects support a modest upward bias reflected in the 50.5 % market-implied probability for 33 °C versus 26.5 % for 32 °C. Afternoon observations from local stations and satellite-derived land-surface temperatures will determine final resolution, with any late-day convective cooling or clearer skies able to shift the outcome toward lower or higher bins before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$10,459Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from PAGASA and global models indicates Manila's August 1 maximum will likely peak near 33 °C under typical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but weak steering flow and urban heat-island effects support a modest upward bias reflected in the 50.5 % market-implied probability for 33 °C versus 26.5 % for 32 °C. Afternoon observations from local stations and satellite-derived land-surface temperatures will determine final resolution, with any late-day convective cooling or clearer skies able to shift the outcome toward lower or higher bins before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,459Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from PAGASA and global models indicates Manila's August 1 maximum will likely peak near 33 °C under typical monsoon conditions with moderate humidity and limited daytime heating. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but weak steering flow and urban heat-island effects support a modest upward bias reflected in the 50.5 % market-implied probability for 33 °C versus 26.5 % for 32 °C. Afternoon observations from local stations and satellite-derived land-surface temperatures will determine final resolution, with any late-day convective cooling or clearer skies able to shift the outcome toward lower or higher bins before markets close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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