Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 2, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Early August climatology features average highs near 89°F amid subtropical moisture, high solar heating, and typical afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity that often limits extremes. Recent late-July observations and short-range runs show no strong anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping 90-91°F as the clear secondary outcome. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 92°F—against modest model spread for tomorrow's maximum, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 2 de agosto?
92-93°F 46%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85 °F
1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F o más
<1%
92-93°F 46%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
83°F o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
84-85 °F
$26 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
30%
92-93°F
$19 Vol.
46%
94-95°F
$30 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$6 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$11 Vol.
1%
102°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 2, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Early August climatology features average highs near 89°F amid subtropical moisture, high solar heating, and typical afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity that often limits extremes. Recent late-July observations and short-range runs show no strong anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping 90-91°F as the clear secondary outcome. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 92°F—against modest model spread for tomorrow's maximum, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$92Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 2, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Early August climatology features average highs near 89°F amid subtropical moisture, high solar heating, and typical afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity that often limits extremes. Recent late-July observations and short-range runs show no strong anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping 90-91°F as the clear secondary outcome. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 92°F—against modest model spread for tomorrow's maximum, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$92Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 2, aligning with the market's leading 92-93°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Early August climatology features average highs near 89°F amid subtropical moisture, high solar heating, and typical afternoon sea-breeze or thunderstorm activity that often limits extremes. Recent late-July observations and short-range runs show no strong anomalous ridge or suppressed convection that would push readings into the mid-90s or higher, keeping 90-91°F as the clear secondary outcome. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical range—rarely exceeding 92°F—against modest model spread for tomorrow's maximum, with resolution hinging on official Miami International Airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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