Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 2 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 78–83°F bins. Typical August climatology features daily lows near 78°F amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection, with steering patterns and sea-breeze interactions introducing small uncertainties in the exact minimum. Recent observations show stable subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges that could depress temperatures further. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and ensemble spreads, which narrow the plausible range but leave room for slight revisions ahead of the National Hurricane Center or local NWS updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 2 de agosto?
86-87°F 64%
88°F o más 59%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 36%
69°F o menos
2%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
64%
88°F o más
59%
86-87°F 64%
88°F o más 59%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 36%
69°F o menos
2%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
35%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
64%
88°F o más
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate Miami's overnight low on August 2 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 78–83°F bins. Typical August climatology features daily lows near 78°F amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection, with steering patterns and sea-breeze interactions introducing small uncertainties in the exact minimum. Recent observations show stable subtropical conditions without significant frontal passages or tropical moisture surges that could depress temperatures further. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and ensemble spreads, which narrow the plausible range but leave room for slight revisions ahead of the National Hurricane Center or local NWS updates expected overnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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