Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 2 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 2 de agosto?
28°C 49%
27°C 21%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
21%
28°C
49%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 21%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$254 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$157 Vol.
2%
26°C
$261 Vol.
7%
27°C
$851 Vol.
21%
28°C
$1,810 Vol.
49%
29°C
$291 Vol.
9%
30°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$223 Vol.
1%
32°C
$244 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,884Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,884Fecha de finalización
2 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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