Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Chongqing's maximum temperature on August 1 likely peaking between 36–37 °C, with close market probabilities reflecting small but decisive spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. The city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat trapping under weak synoptic flow, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify afternoon readings; subtle differences in timing of any convective development or southeasterly advection can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Official station data and model consensus place the outcome near long-term early-August climatology, with final resolution hinging on verified 2 m air-temperature observations rather than forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chongqing el 1 de agosto?
37°C 41%
36°C 32%
38°C 15%
35°C 14%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
14%
36°C
32%
37°C
41%
38°C
15%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 41%
36°C 32%
38°C 15%
35°C 14%
$25,298 Vol.
$25,298 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
14%
36°C
32%
37°C
41%
38°C
15%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models show Chongqing's maximum temperature on August 1 likely peaking between 36–37 °C, with close market probabilities reflecting small but decisive spreads in predicted boundary-layer heating and cloud cover. The city’s location in the Sichuan Basin promotes heat trapping under weak synoptic flow, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify afternoon readings; subtle differences in timing of any convective development or southeasterly advection can shift the daily peak by 1 °C. Official station data and model consensus place the outcome near long-term early-August climatology, with final resolution hinging on verified 2 m air-temperature observations rather than forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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