Recent cooling after a mid-August heat spell in northern France has tightened the Paris overnight low outlook for August 17 around 17–18 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Météo-France guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF indicate seasonal norms returning amid increasing cloud cover and lighter winds, which limit radiative cooling while residual moisture from earlier instability curbs further drops. Historical August minima average near 15–16 °C, yet current model spread and variable boundary-layer conditions keep 16 °C or below as a realistic secondary outcome. Traders appear focused on the next 48-hour forecast updates, which will clarify whether clearer skies or a passing disturbance shifts the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 17. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 17. August?
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C oder darunter 19%
20°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
16°C oder darunter
19%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C oder höher
1%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
16°C oder darunter 19%
20°C 11%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$41 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$5 Vol.
5%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heat spell in northern France has tightened the Paris overnight low outlook for August 17 around 17–18 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Météo-France guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF indicate seasonal norms returning amid increasing cloud cover and lighter winds, which limit radiative cooling while residual moisture from earlier instability curbs further drops. Historical August minima average near 15–16 °C, yet current model spread and variable boundary-layer conditions keep 16 °C or below as a realistic secondary outcome. Traders appear focused on the next 48-hour forecast updates, which will clarify whether clearer skies or a passing disturbance shifts the precise threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$56Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-August heat spell in northern France has tightened the Paris overnight low outlook for August 17 around 17–18 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Météo-France guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF indicate seasonal norms returning amid increasing cloud cover and lighter winds, which limit radiative cooling while residual moisture from earlier instability curbs further drops. Historical August minima average near 15–16 °C, yet current model spread and variable boundary-layer conditions keep 16 °C or below as a realistic secondary outcome. Traders appear focused on the next 48-hour forecast updates, which will clarify whether clearer skies or a passing disturbance shifts the precise threshold.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$56Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after a mid-August heat spell in northern France has tightened the Paris overnight low outlook for August 17 around 17–18 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Météo-France guidance and ensemble runs from ECMWF indicate seasonal norms returning amid increasing cloud cover and lighter winds, which limit radiative cooling while residual moisture from earlier instability curbs further drops. Historical August minima average near 15–16 °C, yet current model spread and variable boundary-layer conditions keep 16 °C or below as a realistic secondary outcome. Traders appear focused on the next 48-hour forecast updates, which will clarify whether clearer skies or a passing disturbance shifts the precise threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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