Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 16. August?
41°C oder höher 55%
40°C 25%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
11%
39°C
15%
40°C
25%
41°C oder höher
63%
41°C oder höher 55%
40°C 25%
39°C 15%
38°C 11%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C
$0 Vol.
11%
39°C
$0 Vol.
15%
40°C
$0 Vol.
25%
41°C oder höher
$41 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$126Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$126Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat across the Arabian Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover, underpins trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 16 high. Long-term climatology shows typical August maxima near 38–40 °C, with recent National Center for Meteorology guidance and extended-range models indicating continued above-normal readings amid the broader 2026 heat episode. High sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea sustain elevated humidity but also limit nocturnal cooling, while urban heat-island effects in Jeddah can add 1–2 °C locally. Forecast consensus currently clusters in the low-40s °C range, aligning with the 72.5 % market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher, though any late-model shift toward increased marine-layer moisture could temper the peak. Updated NCM briefings and 48-hour model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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