Forecast models from AccuWeather, Trip.com, and similar sources project afternoon highs of 33–36°C in Guangzhou on August 16, 2026, under a subtropical monsoon pattern featuring thunderstorms and showers that introduce variability through cloud cover or brief clear intervals. This aligns with August climatology of average daily maxima near 32–34°C, occasionally peaking higher amid high humidity and convective activity typical of the season. Trader consensus clusters implied probability on 35–37°C outcomes as models converge on these values while accounting for uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower odds assigned to extremes outside recent observed ranges of 30–33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 16. August?
36°C 40%
35°C 22%
37°C 16%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
22%
36°C
40%
37°C
16%
38°C
5%
39°C oder höher
1%
36°C 40%
35°C 22%
37°C 16%
34°C 12%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
29°C oder darunter
$367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$198 Vol.
1%
32°C
$117 Vol.
2%
33°C
$223 Vol.
4%
34°C
$71 Vol.
12%
35°C
$125 Vol.
22%
36°C
$1,420 Vol.
40%
37°C
$187 Vol.
16%
38°C
$85 Vol.
5%
39°C oder höher
$97 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather, Trip.com, and similar sources project afternoon highs of 33–36°C in Guangzhou on August 16, 2026, under a subtropical monsoon pattern featuring thunderstorms and showers that introduce variability through cloud cover or brief clear intervals. This aligns with August climatology of average daily maxima near 32–34°C, occasionally peaking higher amid high humidity and convective activity typical of the season. Trader consensus clusters implied probability on 35–37°C outcomes as models converge on these values while accounting for uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower odds assigned to extremes outside recent observed ranges of 30–33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,071Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AccuWeather, Trip.com, and similar sources project afternoon highs of 33–36°C in Guangzhou on August 16, 2026, under a subtropical monsoon pattern featuring thunderstorms and showers that introduce variability through cloud cover or brief clear intervals. This aligns with August climatology of average daily maxima near 32–34°C, occasionally peaking higher amid high humidity and convective activity typical of the season. Trader consensus clusters implied probability on 35–37°C outcomes as models converge on these values while accounting for uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower odds assigned to extremes outside recent observed ranges of 30–33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,071Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from AccuWeather, Trip.com, and similar sources project afternoon highs of 33–36°C in Guangzhou on August 16, 2026, under a subtropical monsoon pattern featuring thunderstorms and showers that introduce variability through cloud cover or brief clear intervals. This aligns with August climatology of average daily maxima near 32–34°C, occasionally peaking higher amid high humidity and convective activity typical of the season. Trader consensus clusters implied probability on 35–37°C outcomes as models converge on these values while accounting for uncertainty in rainfall timing and intensity, with lower odds assigned to extremes outside recent observed ranges of 30–33°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen