Recent typhoon Dolphin activity has strengthened the subtropical high over southern China, sustaining hot, humid conditions across Guangdong with reduced cloud cover and enhanced downslope warming that supports daily maxima near 32–34°C in Shenzhen. Official forecasts from regional models highlight scattered afternoon thunderstorms as the main moderating factor, though steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 29°C favor limited cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C (26%) and 33°C (22%) outcomes aligns with this ensemble guidance and historical August baselines of 31–33°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in convective timing over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 15. August?
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
16%
35°C
6%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
6%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 16%
31°C 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
27°C or below
$663 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$69 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3 Vol.
11%
31°C
$8 Vol.
14%
32°C
$51 Vol.
26%
33°C
$67 Vol.
22%
34°C
$6 Vol.
16%
35°C
$18 Vol.
6%
36°C
$5 Vol.
6%
37°C or higher
$12 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Dolphin activity has strengthened the subtropical high over southern China, sustaining hot, humid conditions across Guangdong with reduced cloud cover and enhanced downslope warming that supports daily maxima near 32–34°C in Shenzhen. Official forecasts from regional models highlight scattered afternoon thunderstorms as the main moderating factor, though steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 29°C favor limited cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C (26%) and 33°C (22%) outcomes aligns with this ensemble guidance and historical August baselines of 31–33°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in convective timing over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$938Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Dolphin activity has strengthened the subtropical high over southern China, sustaining hot, humid conditions across Guangdong with reduced cloud cover and enhanced downslope warming that supports daily maxima near 32–34°C in Shenzhen. Official forecasts from regional models highlight scattered afternoon thunderstorms as the main moderating factor, though steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 29°C favor limited cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C (26%) and 33°C (22%) outcomes aligns with this ensemble guidance and historical August baselines of 31–33°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in convective timing over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$938Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent typhoon Dolphin activity has strengthened the subtropical high over southern China, sustaining hot, humid conditions across Guangdong with reduced cloud cover and enhanced downslope warming that supports daily maxima near 32–34°C in Shenzhen. Official forecasts from regional models highlight scattered afternoon thunderstorms as the main moderating factor, though steering patterns and sea surface temperatures near 29°C favor limited cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 32°C (26%) and 33°C (22%) outcomes aligns with this ensemble guidance and historical August baselines of 31–33°C, while lower probabilities for 35°C+ reflect uncertainty in convective timing over the next 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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