Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to daytime highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14, driven by persistent summer heat and humidity patterns typical of the season, with the leading 36°C market outcome reflecting this expectation. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover noted in extended guidance could cap peaks or enhance them through limited mixing, while climatological August averages hover around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical extremes and the short two-day horizon until resolution, with fresh model runs and official updates likely to refine probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Taipeh am 14. August?
36°C 49%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
5%
36°C 49%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
28°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
1%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C
$22 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$14 Vol.
26%
36°C
$17 Vol.
38%
37°C
$32 Vol.
18%
38°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to daytime highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14, driven by persistent summer heat and humidity patterns typical of the season, with the leading 36°C market outcome reflecting this expectation. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover noted in extended guidance could cap peaks or enhance them through limited mixing, while climatological August averages hover around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical extremes and the short two-day horizon until resolution, with fresh model runs and official updates likely to refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$138Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to daytime highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14, driven by persistent summer heat and humidity patterns typical of the season, with the leading 36°C market outcome reflecting this expectation. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover noted in extended guidance could cap peaks or enhance them through limited mixing, while climatological August averages hover around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical extremes and the short two-day horizon until resolution, with fresh model runs and official updates likely to refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$138Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration points to daytime highs near 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14, driven by persistent summer heat and humidity patterns typical of the season, with the leading 36°C market outcome reflecting this expectation. Thunderstorm activity and cloud cover noted in extended guidance could cap peaks or enhance them through limited mixing, while climatological August averages hover around 32–34°C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical extremes and the short two-day horizon until resolution, with fresh model runs and official updates likely to refine probabilities further.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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