Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 12. August?
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.1%
29°C 6%
NEU
$14,691 Vol.
NEU
$14,691 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
27%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C oder höher
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 27%
32°C 22.1%
29°C 6%
NEU
$14,691 Vol.
NEU
$14,691 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$667 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$535 Vol.
1%
28°C
$794 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,220 Vol.
6%
30°C
$3,714 Vol.
27%
31°C
$3,100 Vol.
37%
32°C
$965 Vol.
22%
33°C
$616 Vol.
6%
34°C oder höher
$902 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$14,691Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,691Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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