Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 12. August?
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
36%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 36%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
12°C or below
$30 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$330 Vol.
1%
14°C
$275 Vol.
1%
15°C
$279 Vol.
1%
16°C
$411 Vol.
8%
17°C
$268 Vol.
35%
18°C
$104 Vol.
36%
19°C
$203 Vol.
14%
20°C
$113 Vol.
4%
21°C
$49 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$27 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$2,088Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,088Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major global forecasting centers points to a daily maximum near 17–18°C in Moscow on August 12, driven by increased cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs indicating brief clearing that could allow a brief rise toward 19°C, while others emphasize persistent overcast and precipitation keeping readings at or below 17°C. These conditions follow a period of warmer early-August readings above 25°C and align with seasonal baselines for mid-month, when Atlantic influences often moderate temperatures. Updated high-resolution model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine the precise peak value ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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