Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 12 will most likely reach 37–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push daily maxima 2–4°C above regional baselines. Recent model runs show minimal precipitation risk through the period, reducing cloud cover and supporting higher readings, while any shift toward monsoon trough influence or typhoon remnants could lower maxima. Traders appear to weight these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 37–38°C outcomes ahead of updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 12. August?
38°C 52%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
30%
38°C
52%
39°C
12%
40°C
3%
41°C oder höher
<1%
38°C 52%
37°C 30%
39°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
31°C oder darunter
$471 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$705 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$366 Vol.
2%
36°C
$648 Vol.
6%
37°C
$883 Vol.
30%
38°C
$1,373 Vol.
52%
39°C
$901 Vol.
12%
40°C
$945 Vol.
3%
41°C oder höher
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 12 will most likely reach 37–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push daily maxima 2–4°C above regional baselines. Recent model runs show minimal precipitation risk through the period, reducing cloud cover and supporting higher readings, while any shift toward monsoon trough influence or typhoon remnants could lower maxima. Traders appear to weight these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 37–38°C outcomes ahead of updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$7,636Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 12 will most likely reach 37–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push daily maxima 2–4°C above regional baselines. Recent model runs show minimal precipitation risk through the period, reducing cloud cover and supporting higher readings, while any shift toward monsoon trough influence or typhoon remnants could lower maxima. Traders appear to weight these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 37–38°C outcomes ahead of updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,636Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models indicate peak temperatures in Guangzhou on August 12 will most likely reach 37–38°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity can push daily maxima 2–4°C above regional baselines. Recent model runs show minimal precipitation risk through the period, reducing cloud cover and supporting higher readings, while any shift toward monsoon trough influence or typhoon remnants could lower maxima. Traders appear to weight these consensus outputs heavily, with implied probabilities clustering tightly around the 37–38°C outcomes ahead of updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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