Recent heatwave conditions under a persistent anticyclonic regime are keeping overnight lows in Paris mild, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 18–19°C on August 12 amid daytime highs of 30–35°C. Clear skies favor radiative cooling, yet elevated humidity and limited nocturnal wind reduce the potential for sharper drops, creating tight clustering around these thresholds in numerical models. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, but the current warmer-than-average pattern—supported by 60% probability from seasonal outlooks—shifts the distribution higher. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any Atlantic trough could nudge the outcome between 18°C and 19°C, the near-tied market leaders, with updated high-resolution runs expected to refine this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 12. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 12. August?
18°C 42%
19°C 38%
17°C 12%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
12%
18°C
42%
19°C
38%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 42%
19°C 38%
17°C 12%
16°C 6%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
14°C or below
$23 Vol.
1%
15°C
$157 Vol.
5%
16°C
$37 Vol.
6%
17°C
$262 Vol.
12%
18°C
$53 Vol.
42%
19°C
$391 Vol.
38%
20°C
$11 Vol.
5%
21°C
$26 Vol.
3%
22°C
$25 Vol.
6%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions under a persistent anticyclonic regime are keeping overnight lows in Paris mild, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 18–19°C on August 12 amid daytime highs of 30–35°C. Clear skies favor radiative cooling, yet elevated humidity and limited nocturnal wind reduce the potential for sharper drops, creating tight clustering around these thresholds in numerical models. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, but the current warmer-than-average pattern—supported by 60% probability from seasonal outlooks—shifts the distribution higher. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any Atlantic trough could nudge the outcome between 18°C and 19°C, the near-tied market leaders, with updated high-resolution runs expected to refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,005Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions under a persistent anticyclonic regime are keeping overnight lows in Paris mild, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 18–19°C on August 12 amid daytime highs of 30–35°C. Clear skies favor radiative cooling, yet elevated humidity and limited nocturnal wind reduce the potential for sharper drops, creating tight clustering around these thresholds in numerical models. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, but the current warmer-than-average pattern—supported by 60% probability from seasonal outlooks—shifts the distribution higher. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any Atlantic trough could nudge the outcome between 18°C and 19°C, the near-tied market leaders, with updated high-resolution runs expected to refine this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,005Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions under a persistent anticyclonic regime are keeping overnight lows in Paris mild, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance pointing to minimum temperatures near 18–19°C on August 12 amid daytime highs of 30–35°C. Clear skies favor radiative cooling, yet elevated humidity and limited nocturnal wind reduce the potential for sharper drops, creating tight clustering around these thresholds in numerical models. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 15–18°C, but the current warmer-than-average pattern—supported by 60% probability from seasonal outlooks—shifts the distribution higher. Minor differences in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any Atlantic trough could nudge the outcome between 18°C and 19°C, the near-tied market leaders, with updated high-resolution runs expected to refine this range ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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