Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Kapstadt am 12. August?
22°C 36%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
20%
22°C
36%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C oder höher
1%
22°C 36%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$33 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$13 Vol.
1%
19°C
$246 Vol.
3%
20°C
$408 Vol.
7%
21°C
$342 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1,808 Vol.
36%
23°C
$150 Vol.
25%
24°C
$156 Vol.
7%
25°C
$95 Vol.
2%
26°C oder höher
$74 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$3,343Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,343Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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