Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada, showing a current reading near 27.7°C with a 40% chance of showers and a projected high around 27°C, has anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 26°C (31.5% implied probability) and 27°C (26.5%) outcomes. Scientific factors differentiating these include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation, alongside urban heat island amplification in Toronto that often adds localized warmth. Model consensus places the day within typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C highs, yet steering patterns and moisture levels introduce enough uncertainty to spread probabilities across 25–28°C while keeping extremes below 10%. Official station observations will determine resolution once the calendar day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Toronto am 12. August?
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
NEU
$33,834 Vol.
NEU
$33,834 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
32%
27°C
27%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
NEU
$33,834 Vol.
NEU
$33,834 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$11,610 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,537 Vol.
21%
26°C
$2,127 Vol.
32%
27°C
$5,451 Vol.
27%
28°C
$3,746 Vol.
13%
29°C
$2,633 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,966 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,162 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$811 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada, showing a current reading near 27.7°C with a 40% chance of showers and a projected high around 27°C, has anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 26°C (31.5% implied probability) and 27°C (26.5%) outcomes. Scientific factors differentiating these include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation, alongside urban heat island amplification in Toronto that often adds localized warmth. Model consensus places the day within typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C highs, yet steering patterns and moisture levels introduce enough uncertainty to spread probabilities across 25–28°C while keeping extremes below 10%. Official station observations will determine resolution once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$33,834Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada, showing a current reading near 27.7°C with a 40% chance of showers and a projected high around 27°C, has anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 26°C (31.5% implied probability) and 27°C (26.5%) outcomes. Scientific factors differentiating these include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation, alongside urban heat island amplification in Toronto that often adds localized warmth. Model consensus places the day within typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C highs, yet steering patterns and moisture levels introduce enough uncertainty to spread probabilities across 25–28°C while keeping extremes below 10%. Official station observations will determine resolution once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,834Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada, showing a current reading near 27.7°C with a 40% chance of showers and a projected high around 27°C, has anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 26°C (31.5% implied probability) and 27°C (26.5%) outcomes. Scientific factors differentiating these include variable cloud cover and convective activity that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation, alongside urban heat island amplification in Toronto that often adds localized warmth. Model consensus places the day within typical mid-August climatology of 24–25°C highs, yet steering patterns and moisture levels introduce enough uncertainty to spread probabilities across 25–28°C while keeping extremes below 10%. Official station observations will determine resolution once the calendar day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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