Persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions are positioning Miami's August 13 minimum near 78–81 °F, aligning with the market's leading 78–79 °F (35.5 %) and 80–81 °F (27.5 %) bins. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows overnight lows historically averaging 78–80 °F in mid-August, with recent nights running 2–4 °F above normal at 81–84 °F. Weak easterly flow, minimal cloud cover reduction, and Gulf moisture are expected to moderate the daily temperature range, keeping the low above 76 °F while making sub-75 °F outcomes unlikely absent an atypical cold front. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 13. August?
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 8%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F oder höher
4%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 17%
74-75°F 8%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
4%
88°F oder höher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy, humid conditions are positioning Miami's August 13 minimum near 78–81 °F, aligning with the market's leading 78–79 °F (35.5 %) and 80–81 °F (27.5 %) bins. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models shows overnight lows historically averaging 78–80 °F in mid-August, with recent nights running 2–4 °F above normal at 81–84 °F. Weak easterly flow, minimal cloud cover reduction, and Gulf moisture are expected to moderate the daily temperature range, keeping the low above 76 °F while making sub-75 °F outcomes unlikely absent an atypical cold front. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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